Arabian Sea to witness cyclone in June?


A low-pressure area is likely to be formed over the South-East Arabian Sea in the first week of June.
The Extended Range Outlook of RSMC said that the likelihood of MJO’s further eastward propagation into phase-2 as well as the probable strengthening of cross equatorial south-westerlies, it is likely that a low-pressure area may form over southeast Arabian Sea towards the end of the week May 29-June4.
Meanwhile, a tweet by Jason Nicholls, Senior Meteorologist at AccuWeather, said that MJO pulse approaching the Indian Ocean can lead a low and perhaps a cyclonic storm spinning up over the Arabian Sea near Lakshadweep in early June.
The tweet said that the exact track of low is unclear so areas from Gujarat and coastal Pakistan to Oman will need to monitor.

Even the cyclonic strike probability of ECMWF also predicts a tropical cyclonic activity during the above-said period.     

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