ECMWF predicts cyclonic storm over Bay of Bengal

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The ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) model has predicted a severe cyclonic storm stage over Bay of Bengal in the second week of May.
The tropical weather outlook for May 2, issued by the New Delhi-based Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre (RSMC), said that ECMWF is indicating development of depression over South Andaman Sea and neighbourhood around May 4 with further intensification up to ‘very severe cyclonic storm’ stage and near North-North-Westwards movement towards West-Central Bay of Bengal (BoB) during subsequent five days.
It said that IMD Genesis Potential Parameter Index is indicating potential cyclogenesis zone over Andaman Sea and adjoining Southeast BoB with near North-North-Eastwards shifting of this zone during May 2 to May 6.
However, all other models are indicating no cyclogenesis over the BoB. In view of these observations, the area over Andaman Sea and South BoB is maintained under continuous watch for next five days, it said.

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