Andhra coast to experience low-pressure impact?

The area over Andaman Sea and South Bay of Bengal (BoB), which is experiencing a low-pressure, is maintained under continuous watch for subsequent seven days beginning May 2.

The tropical weather outlook, which was released by the RSMC on May 3, said that the numerical models such as ECMWF, IMD GFS, and CEP GSP are Indicating cyclogenesis over South-West BoB towards the end of the second week of May with rapid intensification and near North-North-West movement towards East-Central BoB up to Andhra Pradesh coast. It said that there Is large variation with regard to date of cyclogenesis.

It may also be mentioned here that the ECMFW (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) model had predicted a severe cyclonic storm stage over Bay of Bengal in the second week of May.

Meanwhile, the afternoon weather bulletin of IMD for May 3 said that the low-pressure area over South Andaman Sea and adjoining southeast BoB persists. Associated cyclonic circulation extends up to mid-tropospheric levels. However, its intensification is likely to get further delayed owing to pronounced diurnal variation in convection and slight increase in vertical wind shear over the region. It is likely to become well marked over South-East BoB and neighbourhood around May 7 and concentrate into a depression during subsequent 24 hours over the same region. It is likely to move gradually North-Westwards up to May 7, it said.